Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 17.850342 20.260743 22.886191 25.959826 29.461746 33.330025 37.930787
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 14.556587 17.730560 21.444635 26.117816 31.850447 38.665934 47.403080
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 11.631660 15.091109 19.407814 25.203697 32.804901 42.465972 55.728612
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 9.393485 12.925084 17.603927 24.280292 33.604343 46.226502 64.717362
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 7.875125 11.455474 16.476038 24.067358 35.325438 51.515596 76.765561
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 6.771593 10.384183 15.731011 24.275635 37.698178 58.156602 92.052426
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 5.805503 9.357774 14.890861 24.210306 39.675320 64.594285 108.349228
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 5.192981 8.780858 14.650782 25.052168 43.254127 74.210736 131.736333
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 4.552402 8.052338 14.049718 25.199498 45.719608 82.459610 154.531744
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 3.887164 7.171673 13.049505 24.481660 46.545711 88.018482 173.668724
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 3.387908 6.507480 12.326867 24.146767 48.027450 95.072520 197.196394
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 3.095049 6.183394 12.183247 24.898975 51.772197 107.221069 233.674442
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.849670 5.924493 12.149217 25.924768 56.405756 122.349126 280.549818
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.558697 5.524226 11.767035 26.163639 59.446397 134.791162 324.561588
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.218205 4.961336 10.951459 25.310737 59.907253 141.653794 357.271469
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.927018 4.458551 10.184513 24.431909 60.154930 148.134522 390.822299
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.724526 4.125103 9.746084 24.256318 62.101432 159.216286 439.306915
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.573216 3.887661 9.493748 24.497658 65.178226 173.885796 501.539973
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.424790 3.632103 9.154886 24.456833 67.522082 187.184490 563.558810
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.338263 3.519327 9.156558 25.328447 72.582733 209.159398 657.660283
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.228397 3.326462 8.917812 25.494324 75.684303 226.273660 741.521052
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.095620 3.048964 8.405392 24.780951 76.041008 235.333562 801.832293
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.993482 2.839695 8.046253 24.452222 77.521052 248.251242 879.119305